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Iran - Israel Conflict; a Historic Perspective

London, 16 April 2024

The latest conflict between Iran and Israel, reminded us all that it is one of the most prominent and long-standing issues in the Middle East. The animosity between these two nations dates back to decades, driven by a complex web of historical, political, and religious factors.

Why Iran and Israel Relationship is bad?


The relationship between Iran and Israel is strained primarily due to geopolitical reasons. Iran, a predominantly Shiite Muslim country, has been a vocal supporter of Palestinian rights and opposes the existence of Israel as a nation. On the other hand, Israel, a predominantly Jewish country, views Iran as a threat due to its support for militant groups like Hezbollah in Lebanon and Hamas in Gaza.


What drives their relationship?


The main driving force behind the conflict between Iran and Israel is the divergent geopolitical interests of the two countries. Iran seeks to expand its influence in the region, particularly in Syria and Lebanon, which Israel perceives as a direct threat to its security. Additionally, Iran's pursuit of nuclear capabilities has further escalated tensions with the Israeli government.


What is the historic background behind this conflict?


The historic background of the Iran-Israel conflict can be traced back to the Iranian Revolution of 1979, which saw the rise of an Islamic regime that openly condemned Israel. Since then, Iran has supported various anti-Israel groups in the region, leading to multiple confrontations with Israel over the years.


What to expect following the latest acts of war between the two countries?


Following the latest acts of war between Iran and Israel, the situation in the region remains tense. Both countries have exchanged airstrikes, resulting in casualties on both sides. The international community is closely monitoring the situation, fearing a further escalation of violence.


 Will this affect the creation of an autonomous Palestinian state?


The conflict between Iran and Israel is unlikely to directly impact the creation of an autonomous Palestinian state. The Palestinian issue is a separate and longstanding conflict, with its own set of challenges and negotiations. However, the ongoing violence in the region may have indirect consequences on the peace process.


Could this conflict lead to World War 3?


While the Iran-Israel conflict has the potential to escalate into a wider regional conflict, the likelihood of it leading to World War 3 is low. Both countries have allies and enemies in the region, but a full-scale global conflict is an unlikely scenario at this point.


Who will support militarily Iran, and who will support Israel in case of war?


In the event of a full-scale war between Iran and Israel, Iran is likely to receive support from countries like Russia and China, both of which have strategic interests in the region. On the other hand, Israel can count on support from the United States and some European countries, which have historically been strong allies of Israel.


What is the role of the USA and Europe?


The United States and Europe play a significant role in the Iran-Israel conflict, with both regions siding with Israel and opposing Iran's nuclear ambitions. The US, in particular, has imposed sanctions on Iran and provided military aid to Israel to maintain its military dominance in the region.


How did markets react to the attack of Iran to Israel?


The markets reacted negatively to the recent attack by Iran on Israel, with global stocks plummeting and oil prices surging. Investors fear a prolonged conflict in the region, which could disrupt oil supplies and impact the global economy. 


What will happen to the markets in the case of Israel's response to the Iranian attack?


If Israel decides to respond to the Iranian attack, the markets are likely to experience further volatility. Increased military tensions in the region could lead to higher oil prices, which would impact energy markets and global trade.


Will oil break the $100 per barrel barrier?


The possibility of oil breaking the $100 per barrel barrier is a real concern if the conflict between Iran and Israel escalates further. The disruption of oil supplies in the region could lead to a spike in prices, affecting consumers worldwide and potentially triggering an economic downturn.

In conclusion, the Iran-Israel conflict is a complex and multifaceted issue with deep historical roots. The ongoing tensions between these two nations have far-reaching consequences for the region and the world at large. It is essential for the international community to work towards finding peaceful resolutions to prevent further bloodshed and instability. (Research and edit: The Decision Maker, International Relations editors. Angelos Tsigkopoulos has contributed to this article.)




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