What Does The Assassination Attempt of Former US President Trump Mean for The November US Elections?
London 17 July 2024
Written by:
By Angelos Tsigkopoulos
Founder & CEO, Diorasis Group
Publisher, The Decision Maker magazine
Keynote Speaker at The International Negotiations Conference, NegotiCON 2025
Following the assassination attempt of former US President and candidate for the presidency for the second time in November 2024, a lot of discussion about the impact this could have on the coming US elections in November 2024. I am looking into the parameters for you.
Trump's re-election chances and the potential consequences for US foreign relations.
Does this assassination attempt add points to Donald Trump's re-election?
While it is difficult to predict the exact impact of this assassination attempt on Trump's re-election prospects, it is clear that such a high-profile event could potentially generate sympathy and rally support for the former President. In the past, political figures who have faced assassination attempts have often seen a surge in popularity. However, it is important to note that the dynamics of the US political landscape are complex, and many other factors will also come into play in determining the outcome of the November elections.
What will a possible Trump re-election mean for the relations of the US with the EU, Turkey, the Middle East and will he insist on the 2% threshold for the member-countries of the NATO?
If Trump is re-elected, it is likely that his approach to foreign relations will continue to be characterized by his "America First" agenda. This could lead to tensions with traditional US allies in Europe and the Middle East, as Trump has shown a willingness to challenge long-standing alliances and agreements. Furthermore, his insistence on NATO member-countries meeting the 2% threshold for defence spending could strain relations with countries like Turkey, which have been reluctant to meet this requirement.
Will he provide an alternative to the woke agenda?
Throughout his presidency, Trump has been a vocal critic of the so-called "woke agenda", which he sees as promoting political correctness and stifling free speech. If re-elected, it is likely that Trump will continue to push back against these cultural trends and offer an alternative vision for American society.
How realistic is the end of the war in Ukraine if he is re-elected? Will his good relationship with President Putin play a role?
I have been saying for a long time after former President Trump stated that if re-elected, he would end the war in Ukraine in 24 hours, that this is my favourite part!
Trump's relationship with Russian President Vladimir Putin has been a subject of much controversy during his time in office. If re-elected, Trump's close ties to Putin could potentially play a role in efforts to end the war in Ukraine. However, it is important to note that the conflict in Ukraine is complex and involves multiple parties, making a resolution challenging.
What will the US stance be in the Israel-Hamas war, under Trump's leadership if re-elected in November 2024?
Under Trump's leadership, the US has taken a strong pro-Israel stance in the Israel-Hamas conflict. If re-elected, it is likely that Trump will continue to support Israel and take a hardline approach towards Hamas. This could further escalate tensions in the region and complicate efforts to achieve a lasting peace agreement.
The assassination attempt on former US President Trump has raised a host of questions about the potential implications for the November elections and US foreign relations.
While it is unclear how this event will ultimately impact Trump's re-election chances, it is clear that his leadership style and approach to key issues will continue to shape the political landscape in the months and years to come.
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